Ao comemorar os 70 anos da CEPAL, o Escritório em Brasília, com o apoio da Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung (FES) e da Young Scholars Initiative do Institute for New Economic Thinking, convidou jovens pesquisadores brasileiros para analisar o futuro da economia do Brasil, a partir das propostas e estruturas das análises da CEPAL. Os artigos incluídos abordam desafíos e oportunidades para o desenvolvimento do país nos próximos anos a partir de temas diversos, tais como a vulnerabilidade externa, a fragilidade das finanças públicas e do Estado, a inovação e diversificação produtiva, a necessidade de pol…
The Economic Survey of the Caribbean 2018 analyses the performance of the Caribbean subregion to the global economy. It provides a comparative analysis of global economic growth, commodity price performance, Caribbean growth performance, and unemployment. This is then followed by a subsection on fiscal policy and public debt. Subsequent subsections elaborate on monetary policy, and the external sector. Section II presents country briefs for the Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Guyana, Jamaica, Suriname, and Trinidad and Tobago, together with the member states of the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union …
The report provides an overview of the economic performance for 2017 of the Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Guyana, Jamaica, Suriname, Trinidad and Tobago plus the eight Member States of the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU), and the outlook for 2018. Data were collected from a review of reports from subregional institutions as well as national governments and interviews with government officials in each of the countries examined.…
The Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean, one of ECLAC’s most important annual reports, analyzes in its 2018 edition the economic performance of the region throughout the year, the international context and macroeconomic policies implemented by countries, while also providing an outlook for 2019.
The Latin American and Caribbean countries are facing a complex global economic scenario over the next few years, with slower growth expected in both the developed countries and the emerging economies, along with increased volatility in international financial marke…
El Balance Preliminar de las Economías de América Latina y el Caribe, uno de los informes anuales más importantes de la CEPAL, analiza en su edición 2018 el desempeño económico de la región durante el año, el contexto internacional, las políticas macroeconómicas que los países han implementado y entrega perspectivas para 2019.
Los países de América Latina y el Caribe enfrentan un escenario económico mundial complejo en los próximos años, en el cual se espera una reducción de la dinámica del crecimiento, tanto de los países desarrollados como de las economías emergentes, acompañada por un aumen…
Os países da América Latina e do Caribe enfrentam um cenário econômico mundial complexo nos próximos anos, no qual se espera uma redução da dinâmica do crescimento, tanto dos países desenvolvidos como das economias emergentes, acompanhada por um aumento na volatilidade dos mercados financeiros internacionais. A isto soma-se o enfraquecimento estrutural do comércio internacional, agravado pelas tensões comerciais entre os Estados Unidos e a China.
As projeções de crescimento mundial foram reduzidas levemente, tanto para 2018 como para 2019, e prevalecem os riscos de baixa nesses prognósticos. E…
The Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean, one of ECLAC’s most important annual reports, analyzes in its 2017 edition the economic performance of the region throughout the year, the international context and macroeconomic policies implemented by countries, while also providing an outlook for 2018.…
El Balance Preliminar de las Economías de América Latina y el Caribe, uno de los informes anuales más importantes de la CEPAL, analiza en su edición 2017 el desempeño económico de la región durante el año, el contexto internacional, las políticas macroeconómicas que los países han implementado y entrega perspectivas para 2018.…
Although the growth performance has been mixed in the Caribbean year, on averaged the economies posted an economic growth of 0.7 per cent in 2016. The goods producers achieved -3.1 per cent growth, due to weak commodity prices. While the service producers achieved 2.1 growth. Despite the anemic growth performance, the region managed to decrease its unemployment rate to 11.2 per cent in 2016, relative to the 15.2 per cent experienced in the previous year.…
Em 2017, a América Latina e o Caribe enfrentaram um contexto externo mais favorável no âmbito real e financeiro. No âmbito real, a economia mundial cresceria a uma taxa de 2,9%, cifra superior aos 2,4% alcançados em 2016. A melhora no crescimento foi quase generalizada e beneficiou tanto as economias desenvolvidas como as emergentes, que mostraram uma aceleração no ritmo de crescimento durante o ano. A taxa estimada de crescimento para as primeiras em 2017 é de 2,1% (frente a 1,6% em 2016), enquanto a taxa estimada para as segundas é de 4,5% (frente a 4,0% em 2016). Prevê-se que este contexto …
En el presente documento se analiza la evolución de las economías de Centroamérica (Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua y Panamá) y la República Dominicana (CARD) en 2016, y se hace un examen de los primeros meses de 2017 y las perspectivas para el resto del año, sobre la base de información disponible al 30 de junio de 2017. Es un análisis de coyuntura elaborado por la Unidad de Desarrollo Económico (UDE) de la Sede Subregional de la Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL) en México. El documento ofrece una actualización de la versión publicada en febrer…
The Preliminary Overview of the Economies of the Caribbean analyzes in its 2016-2017 edition the economic performance of the region throughout 2016, the international context and macroeconomic policies implemented by countries, while also providing an outlook for 2017. The Caribbean recorded economic growth of only 0.8 per cent in 2016 but growth is expected to rebound to 2.4 per cent in 2017. The poor performance observed in 2016 was primarily due to a 3.7 percent contraction in the goods producing economies, which were hard hit by the decline in commodity prices in general and hydrocarbons i…
Low commodity prices in the Caribbean region have negatively impacted the economic growth of commodity exporting economies. Growth among the service producers averaged 1.6 per cent in 2015 but is projected at 2.5 per cent by year end in 2016. The region also struggles with high unemployment of 15.2 per cent in 2015.…
This manual systematizes the basics of a set of methodologies, analytical variables and indicators for a better understanding of international trade dynamics. For the systematic development of that document, the first part includes basic knowledge like definitions of proportions, percentages, annual growth rates, and structural analysis. Based upon that, the second part introduces more comprehensive concepts for a profound analysis of trade. Furthermore, concepts of tariff and nontariff protection, the link between production and trade as well as the main classifications of international trade…
El presente trabajo analiza la relación entre la evolución del tipo de cambio real y la dinámica del comercio exterior en las mayores economías de América del Sur (la Argentina, Bolivia, el Brasil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Perú, el Uruguay y la República Bolivariana de Venezuela) en la última década para, de ese modo, ponderar su contribución al crecimiento y la diversificación productiva.…
The Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) has revised downward its economic growth projection for the region in 2015, forecasting a 1.0% increase in the regional Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the United Nations organization said today in a press release.
This revision reflects a global environment characterized by less economic dynamism than what was expected at the end of 2014. With the exception of the United States, industrialized countries have revised their growth estimates downward, and emerging economies continue to decelerate. The region is expected to keep ec…
La Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL) ha revisado a la baja la proyección del crecimiento económico de la región para el 2015, estimando en 1,0% el aumento del producto interno bruto (PIB) regional, dijo hoy el organismo de las Naciones Unidas en un comunicado de prensa.
Esta revisión refleja un entorno global caracterizado por una dinámica económica menor a la esperada a fines de 2014. Con excepción de Estados Unidos, las proyecciones de crecimiento han sido revisadas a la baja en los países industrializados, y las economías emergentes se siguen desacelerando. Se esper…
A Comissão Econômica para a América Latina e o Caribe (CEPAL) revisou a projeção do crescimento econômico da região para 2015, estimando em 1,0% o aumento do produto interno bruto (PIB) regional, informou hoje o organismo das Nações Unidas em um comunicado de imprensa.
Essa revisão reflete um panorama global caracterizado por uma dinâmica econômica menor ao que era esperado no final de 2014. Com exceção dos Estados Unidos, as projeções de crescimento foram revisadas nos países industrializados, e as economias emergentes continuam desacelerando-se. Espera-se que a região consiga manter o cresci…
For six years, the global economy has been driven by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policies of easy money. Liquidity has flowed from developed to developing economies, financing infrastructure and corporate investment and allowing consumers to indulge in credit-fuelled retail spending. Thus the effective ending of the Fed’s third round of asset purchases (QE3) at the end of October represents both a watershed and the beginning of a new stage in the world economy. The end of asset-purchases comes at a challenging time for emerging markets, with China’s economy slowing, the Euro zone struggling to …
This report updates the analysis set out in the Preliminary Overview of Latin America and the Caribbean 2013,
released in December 2013, on the basis of official data published by the countries in the region in the subsequent
months, and presents a revised economic outlook for 2014. In addition, it examines the external factors influencing
the region’s performance and their impact on the different components of the balance of payments and summarizes
the challenges and main trends in relation to monetary, exchange-rate and fiscal policy. It confirms the deceleration
of growth analysed in the Pr…
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