1 Jun 2008, 00:00 - 13 Oct 2025, 09:18
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Abstract This paper presents an overview of current developments in macroeconomic modelling for forecasting and policy analysis in Latin America, based on material presented at a REDIMA project meeting at the UN Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, Santiago de Chile, in September 2007. Some particular issues that arise in modeling emerging economies are described, in the context of recent developments in modeling developed economies.…
12 Mayo 2008, 00:00 - 13 Oct 2025, 09:18
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In the midst of broad global market turmoil and mounting fears of a recession in the U.S., emerging markets have shown strong growth and economic resilience. For the first time in recent history, the external meltdown has not sparked capital flight from Latin America. Quite the contrary, Latin American markets have been seen by investors as a safe haven from the supbprime woes afflicting the U.S. economyDespite showing significant resilience, Latin American debt spreads widened in the first quarter of 2008, and after reaching record lows in May 2007, they are now re-approaching pre-Asian crisi…
1 Mayo 2008, 00:00 - 13 Oct 2025, 09:21
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Resumen El presente trabajo examina el proceso chileno de bancarización. Al igual que los demás países de América Latina, Chile ha debido enfrentar barreras que han limitado el desarrollo de dicho proceso, y que pueden clasificarse en aquéllas relacionadas con el desarrollo económico y social, con la organización industrial, y con los aspectos regulatorios y normativos. La experiencia chilena provee algunas lecciones interesantes de explorar.La importante superación de las barreras a la bancarización se ha logrado mediante una combinación de una institucionalidad política jurídica que funciona…
9 Abr 2008, 00:00 - 13 Oct 2025, 09:21
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The bursting of the property bubble – subprime mortgage crisis – in 2007 in the United
States has engendered panic, recession fears and turmoil in the global financial system. Although
the United States economy grew by 0.6 per cent in the last quarter of 2007, down from 4.9 per
cent in the previous quarter, day by day worsening scenarios emerge, from escalating oil prices,
to a depreciating dollar and financial institutions’ bailout by the Federal Reserve. Many
economists and policy makers share the view that a subprime-led recession – i.e. two consecutive
quarters with negative growth – is in…
1 Abr 2008, 00:00 - 13 Oct 2025, 09:21
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General trends of the recent evolutionEconomic activity in the Central American Isthmus 1 and the Dominican Republic in 2007 expanded 7.1%, four tenths less than in 2006. Thus, the economic growth of the subregion 2 was one and a half percentage points greater than the registered average of Latin America and the Caribbean. In terms of GDP per capita, growth was 5%. This performance represents a continuation of the expansionary phase of the economic cycle that began in 2004, characterized by an improvement in the majority of the economic and social indicators and linked to the positive evolutio…
Durante los últimos 40 años, ha habido varios intentos, a escala mundial, de elaboración de estadísticas económicas que reflejasen la paridad de poder adquisitivo (PPA); de las monedas nacionales, dado que esas medidas son más útiles y menos falaces que las basadas en los tipos de cambio de mercado. Aunque estos intentos no siempre fueron exitosos, sus resultados parciales se consideraron un progreso con respecto a las alternativas convencionales. El último ejercicio importante se realizó entre 1993 y 1996 bajo los auspicios de las Naciones Unidas. El hecho de que no se produjeran resultados o…
International flows of capital in the form of foreign direct investment have become an important means of promoting economic development in many countries. The spread of globalization and the activity of transnational corporations have been driving forces behind these flows have already been adequately analyzed. An important new phenomenon of recent decades is the rapid increase in the outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) flows from developing countries. Much less attention has been paid to outward investment by developing countries, mainly because it was negligible until recently.OFDI fro…
This paper compares the dynamism of the Latin American and Caribbean region's services trade with that of Asia, evaluates the determinants of these trade flows, and proposes measures for improving the region's performance. The focus of this study is on other services , which includes all services except transport and travel services (mainly tourism). Other services include many modern service inputs (including communications, financial and information technology services and business services), that play an increasingly vital role in determining many businesses&…
During much of 2007, the Latin American and Caribbean region witnessed a great deal of volatility in financial markets owing to uncertainty about the impact that the financial crisis in the United States could have on that country’s and the world’s real economies. This crisis has not, however, had any significant repercussions in terms of the level of economic activity or international trade, and most of the economies in the region have continued to grow rapidly. This growth —estimated at 5.6% for the region as a whole— has been driven primarily by domestic demand, with particularly sharp incr…
Durante gran parte del año 2007 la región de América Latina y el Caribe enfrentó una elevada volatilidad de los mercados financieros como consecuencia de la incertidumbre sobre el impacto de la crisis financiera estadounidense en la economía real de ese país y a nivel mundial. Sin embargo, no ha habido repercusiones significativas en la actividad y el comercio internacional y en la mayoría de los países de la región han seguido registrándose tasas elevadas de crecimiento, basadas principalmente en la demanda interna, en la que se destacó el aumento del consumo privado y de la formación bruta d…
1 Nov 2007, 00:00 - 13 Oct 2025, 09:21
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ResumenEl Nuevo Marco de Capital para la banca que el Comité de Supervisón Bancaria de Basilea dio a conocer a mitades de 2004 representa un salto cualitativo en materia de gestión y supervisión de riesgos y del capital en los bancos. Su implantación en países de América Latina y el Caribe puede contribuir a la solvencia de los bancos, y por ende, a preservar la estabilidad financiera en la región. El Nuevo Marco de Capital, o Basilea II, consta de tres grandes pilares. El Pilar I aborda los requisitos de capital que originan los tres principales riesgos que enfrentan los bancos: los riesgos …
26 Oct 2007, 00:00 - 13 Oct 2025, 09:21
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Rasgos generales de la evolución reciente En 2006 la economía haitiana registró de nuevo una variación positiva (2,3%) del producto interno bruto (PIB), así como una reducción de la tasa de inflación (10,3%, diciembre-diciembre). Este desempeño fue acompañado por un saneamiento de las finanzas públicas, resultado fiscal de equilibrio, sin financiamiento monetario del Banco Central, y la economía se benefició de una transferencia neta de recursos (104 millones de dólares) equivalente a 2,1% del PIB.…
25 Oct 2007, 00:00 - 13 Oct 2025, 09:21
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Concerns about the ongoing U.S crisis in the housing sector and the asset exposures to subprime mortgages dominated financial markets in the second and third quarters of 2007. Volatility spiked in July and August, with losses in the subprime mortgage sector spreading to other risky assets. The volatility radiating from the United States is changing the global backdrop for emerging markets. This change comes after several years when the combination of improvement in country macroeconomic policies and strong risk appetites led to strong flows of new money to the emerging markets asset classes. …