HORIZONTES CEPAL – Capítulo 3: Entrevista a Daniel Titelman

Nuevo capítulo de “Horizontes CEPAL” repasa evolución y proyecciones de crecimiento económico de la región

Las tendencias proteccionistas, la evolución de los flujos de remesas y las posibles modificaciones en las políticas migratorias configuran escenarios de incertidumbre y riesgos para el desempeño económico de América Latina y el Caribe en 2017, señala Daniel Titelman, Director de la División de Desarrollo Económico de la Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), en el tercer capítulo del programa multimedia “Horizontes CEPAL”. En una entrevista en profundidad, Titelman repasa la evolución macroeconómica de la región desde la crisis financiera de 2009 y analiza las principales…

Conferencia de prensa: Balance Preliminar de las Economías de América Latina y el Caribe 2016

Latin American and the Caribbean Will Resume Subdued Growth in 2017 Amid Uncertainty about Global Economy

After two consecutive years of economic contraction, Latin America and the Caribbean will experience a modest growth of 1.3% in 2017, according to new projections released today by ECLAC. The United Nations regional organization made public its annual Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and Caribbean 2016, in which it calls for revived public-private investment in order to resume short- and long-term growth and confront the risks and growing uncertainties posed by the international scenario. “We are at a turning point. Latin America and the Caribbean will resume growth but m…

América Latina y el Caribe retomará tenue crecimiento en 2017 en medio de incertidumbres sobre la economía mundial

Tras dos años seguidos de contracción, América Latina y el Caribe tendrá en 2017 un modesto crecimiento de 1,3%, según nuevas proyecciones entregadas hoy por la CEPAL. El organismo regional de las Naciones Unidas dio a conocer su informe anual Balance Preliminar de las Economías de América Latina y el Caribe 2016, en el cual llama a dinamizar el impulso de inversión público-privado para retomar el crecimiento de corto y largo plazo y hacer frente a los riesgos y crecientes incertidumbres del escenario internacional. “Estamos en un punto de inflexión. América Latina y el Caribe volverá a crecer…

A América Latina e o Caribe retomarão leve crescimento em 2017 em meio às incertezas sobre a economia mundial

Após dois anos consecutivos de contração, a América Latina e o Caribe apresentarão em 2017 um modesto crescimento de 1,3%, segundo novas projeções divulgadas hoje pela CEPAL. O organismo regional da ONU divulgou seu Relatório anual: Balanço Preliminar das Economias da América Latina e do Caribe 2016, no qual enfatiza a necessidade de dinamizar o impulso do investimento público-privado para retomar o crescimento de curto e longo prazo e enfrentar os riscos e as crescentes incertezas do cenário internacional. “Estamos em um ponto de inflexão. A América Latina e o Caribe voltarão a crescer, porém…

Balance Preliminar de las Economías de América Latina y el Caribe 2016

ECLAC will Update Its Growth Projections for Latin American and Caribbean’s Countries

The Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) will present on Wednesday, December 14 its Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean 2016, in which it will update its growth estimates for the region’s countries in 2016 and projections for 2017. Alicia Bárcena, ECLAC’s Executive Secretary, will give a press conference to present the report at the Commission’s headquarters in Santiago, Chile, at 3:00 p.m. local time (UTC/GMT -3:00). The event will also be broadcast live on the Internet via the institution’s Web site. The Preliminary Overview of …

CEPAL actualizará sus proyecciones de crecimiento para los países de América Latina y el Caribe

La Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL) presentará el miércoles 14 de diciembre su Balance Preliminar de las Economías de América Latina y el Caribe 2016, publicación en la que actualizará sus estimaciones de crecimiento para los países de la región en 2016 y las proyecciones para el 2017. El informe será dado a conocer en una conferencia de prensa ofrecida por Alicia Bárcena, Secretaria Ejecutiva de la CEPAL, en la sede de la Comisión en Santiago, Chile, a las 15:00 horas locales (UTC/GMT -3:00), evento que será transmitido en directo por internet a través del sitio web …

CEPAL atualizará suas projeções de crescimento para os países da América Latina e do Caribe

A Comissão Econômica para a América Latina e o Caribe (CEPAL) divulgará na quarta-feira, 14 de dezembro seu Balanço Preliminar das Economias da América Latina e do Caribe 2016, publicação em que atualizará suas estimativas de crescimento para os países da Região em 2016 e as projeções para 2017. Alicia Bárcena, Secretária-Executiva da CEPAL, fará uma coletiva de imprensa para apresentar o Relatório, na sede da Comissão, em Santiago do Chile, que será realizada às 15h do Chile (16h de Brasília) e que será transmitida ao vivo por videoconferência para o Escritório da CEPAL no Brasil e, também, p…

CEPAL Review no. 120

Revista CEPAL no. 120

Brazil, 1981-2013: the effects of economic growth and income inequality on poverty

This study analyses the impact of economic growth and income inequality on poverty in Brazil in the years from 1981 to 2013. A dynamic panel model was used, estimated by the twostep generalized method-of-moments system developed by Blundell-Bond (1998), in order to analyse three scenarios: the first corresponds to the entire period covered by this study (i.e. 1981-2013); the second encompasses the years from 1981 to 1994 (the period leading up to the Real Plan); and the third is the period from 1995 to 2013 (the years following the implementation of the Real Plan). The results indicate that ec…

Brasil, 1981-2013: efectos del crecimiento económico y de la desigualdad de los ingresos en la pobreza

En este artículo se analizan los efectos del crecimiento económico y la desigualdad de los ingresos en la pobreza del Brasil entre 1981 y 2013. Para ello se utiliza un modelo de panel dinámico, mediante el método generalizado de momentos de dos pasos desarrollado por Blundell y Bond (1998) para tres períodos. El primero, que comprende a los otros dos, va de 1981 a 2013, mientras que el segundo y el tercero corresponden a las etapas anterior y posterior a la implementación del Plan Real (1981-1994 y 1995-2013, respectivamente). Los resultados muestran que, para combatir la pobreza en el Brasil,…

Caribbean economies

Latin American and Caribbean Economy to Contract by -0.9% in 2016 and Grow 1.5% in 2017

The Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) has revised its economic growth projections for the region for 2016 and now expects an average contraction of -0.9% for Latin America and the Caribbean this year. Economic activity is expected to pick up in 2017 with average growth of 1.5%, according to a press release by the United Nations agency today. The projections for 2017 reflect expectations of more auspicious global conditions than in 2015 and 2016. Prices for commodities in 2017 will show gains over average-2016 levels and growth is expected to be stronger in the eco…

Actividad económica de América Latina y el Caribe se contraerá -0,9% en 2016 y crecerá 1,5% en 2017

La Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL) revisó las proyecciones de crecimiento de la actividad económica de la región para 2016 y espera una contracción promedio de -0,9% en América Latina y el Caribe durante este año. Para 2017 se prevé un repunte en la dinámica económica con un crecimiento promedio de 1,5%, según informó hoy el organismo de las Naciones Unidas mediante un comunicado de prensa. Las proyecciones para 2017 dan cuenta de un entorno global que se prevé más auspicioso que el de 2015 y 2016. Los precios de las materias primas evidenciarían en 2017 …

ECLAC delivers “strong answer” to the budgeting process needs of Caribbean public administrations

The Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) has provided a “strong answer” to what senior public officials across the Caribbean have been searching for in order to improve the budgeting process of public administrations, according to the participants of a week-long regional training workshop that provided officials with robust tools and techniques necessary for more effective management of public finances. Public Expenditure Reviews (PERs) are intended to align public sector expenditure with the priorities of national governments. They also promote increased savings, ei…

ECLAC budget training beneficial to policy makers in Barbados

The budgeting process is set to greatly improve in Barbados as a result of ECLAC Caribbean’s training for public finance managers on Public Expenditure Reviews (PERs), according to Mr. Seibert Frederick, Permanent Secretary in the Barbados Ministry of Economic Affairs. Speaking at the high-level briefing that concluded the training workshop, on 26 August 2016, Mr. Frederick emphasized the value and potential of the techniques imparted, in bolstering the efficiency of the budgeting exercise, and noted that the training would have definitely benefitted permanent secretaries. The participan…

Tax Evasion in Latin America Totals $340 Billion Dollars and Represents 6.7% of Regional GDP

The fiscal reforms implemented in recent years have been reflected in the moderate growth of tax collection levels in Latin American countries. Nevertheless, in most of them, the fiscal burden is still low with respect to their development levels and, as ECLAC has shown in recent reports, tax systems maintain a regressive bias because direct taxes do not generate enough fiscal income to have an important impact on redistribution. This outcome is mainly due to the low level of effective taxation rates in Latin America, especially in the high-income decile. That is why tax evasion constitutes on…