XXXIII Seminario Regional de Política Fiscal - cuarta jornada (23 de abril de 2021)

Análisis del financiamiento de la banca de desarrollo con bonos verdes: intercambio regional para un gran impulso ambiental

En este documento se analiza el uso de bonos verdes por parte de la banca de desarrollo, el desempeño financiero de dichos bonos y sus costos asociados, así como el perfil de riesgo del instrumento y su marco regulatorio. El análisis se enfoca en América Latina y el Caribe. Se argumenta que algunos de los principales obstáculos para la emisión de bonos verdes son los costos de emisión, la ausencia de una cartera diversificada de proyectos de inversión y su baja rentabilidad. La coyuntura particular de la pandemia de enfermedad por coronavirus (COVID-19) supone una oportunidad de desarrollo par…

Una asignación de derechos especiales de giro (DEG) para el desarrollo beneficiaría a todos los países en desarrollo, independientemente de sus niveles de ingreso

El reciente llamamiento de la Secretaria del Tesoro de los Estados Unidos, Janet Yellen, respecto de una nueva emisión de derechos especiales de giro (DEG) del Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI), que el Grupo de los Veinte (G-20) aprobó recientemente, y la reasignación de los DEG excedentes a los países de bajos ingresos, es una iniciativa muy bienvenida y necesaria. La acción internacional concertada y la solidaridad son los únicos medios para afrontar y superar la crisis del COVID-19. Una respuesta verdaderamente multilateral y global a la pandemia debe extender los beneficios de esta inici…

Capital flows to Latin America and the Caribbean 2020 year-in-review in times of COVID-19

Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) bond issuances in the international market reached their second highest level on record in 2020, while coupons came down and maturity increased from 2019 levels. 1.- In 2020, total LAC bond issuance in international markets reached US$ 145.3 billion, the second highest annual issuance on record. The 2020 total was 23% higher than in 2019 and second only to the historic record of US$ 145.5 billion reached in 2017 2.- Sovereign issuance, in terms of amount, was the highest on record, as governments – with a backdrop of low global interest rates a…

Capital flows to Latin America and the Caribbean: 2020 year-in-review in times of COVID-19

Capital flows to Latin America and the Caribbean: 2020 year-in-review in times of COVID-19 presents and analyses the developments concerning capital flows to Latin America and the Caribbean in 2020. This report is published three times a year and provides an overview of bond issuances from Latin American and Caribbean issuers, including of green, social and sustainability bonds, as well as bond spreads and credit ratings.…

Balance preliminar de las economías de Centroamérica y la República Dominicana en 2020 y perspectivas para 2021. Febrero de 2021

En 2020 las economías de Centroamérica y la República Dominicana (CARD) sufrieron una profunda y generalizada contracción, que en la mayoría de los casos fue la más severa observada en varias décadas. La CEPAL estima que el PIB promedio de CARD se contrajo un 6,1%, después de 10 años de expansión ininterrumpida. Esta caída se explica principalmente por las medidas de restricción de movilidad y cierre de actividades, que fueron implementadas en mayor o menor medida en cada país de la subregión con objeto de contener la propagación de la enfermedad por COVID 19, así como por una notable contracc…

Balance Preliminar de las Economías de América Latina y el Caribe 2020

En su edición 2020, el Balance Preliminar de las Economías de América Latina y el Caribe examina el comportamiento de las economías de la región durante el año, y actualiza las cifras de crecimiento y otros indicadores que reflejan el impacto sufrido por los países de la región a raíz de la crisis del COVID-19. En particular, el documento presenta nuevas estimaciones del producto interno bruto (PIB) para la región y todos sus países en 2020 y entrega una primera estimación de crecimiento para 2021. El informe analiza los efectos económicos provocados por la pandemia en cada país a la luz de lo…

Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean 2020

In its Preliminary Overview of the Economies of the region, ECLAC forecasts an average contraction of -7.7% for 2020 – the largest in 120 years – and a rebound of 3.7% in 2021. In a context of global contraction, Latin America and the Caribbean is the region in the developing world that has been hardest hit by the crisis stemming from COVID-19. In the decade prior to the pandemic, the region was on a low-growth trajectory, and in 2020 it faces an unprecedented combination of negative supply and demand shocks, which is translating into the worst economic crisis in the last 120 years. Although t…

Balanço Preliminar das Economias da América Latina e do Caribe 2020. Resumo executivo

Antes da pandemia, a região já mostrava baixo crescimento econômico: em média 0,3% no sexênio 2014-2019, e especificamente em 2019 uma taxa de crescimento de 0,1%. Com a chegada da pandemia, se somaram ao baixo crescimento econômico os choques externos negativos e a necessidade de implementar políticas de confinamento, distanciamento físico e encerramento de atividades produtivas, fazendo com que a emergência sanitária se materializasse na pior crise econômica, social e produtiva que a região viveu nos últimos 120 anos e numa queda de 7,7% do PIB regional. Essa contração da atividade econômica…

Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America and the Caribbean 2020

The decade ending in 2019 saw the highest ever foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows to Latin America and the Caribbean, which reached their peak in 2012. Since then, foreign investment inflows have declined steadily, bringing into focus, especially in South American countries, the relationship between FDI flows, the macroeconomic cycle and commodity price cycles in the region. In 2019, Latin America and the Caribbean received US$ 160.721 billion in FDI, 7.8% less than in 2018, a decline that is seen intensifying sharply in 2020 when inflows are forecast to drop by between 45% and 55% as a r…

O Investimento Estrangeiro Direto na América Latina e no Caribe 2020. Resumo executivo

Na década que terminou em 2019, as entradas de investimento estrangeiro direto (IED) na América Latina e no Caribe alcançaram seu máximo valor histórico, fato que ocorreu em 2012. Depois desse ano, a queda dos fluxos de investimento estrangeiro foi quase ininterrupta, tornando evidente a relação que existe na região entre os fluxos de IED, o ciclo macroeconômico e os ciclos de preços das matérias-primas, principalmente nos países da América do Sul. Em 2019, ingressaram 160,721 bilhões de dólares de IED, montante 7,8% menor que o registrado em 2018, de modo que as entradas de IED representaram …

U.S. Economic Outlook–Third Quarter 2020

The U.S. economy expanded at a 33.1% annual rate in the third quarter; market projections suggest a decline of about 4% in 2020. The pandemic has created unprecedented volatility in economic growth this year, with the record-shattering decline in real GDP in the second quarter followed by a similarly record-breaking gain in the third. The U.S. economic expansion in the third quarter of 2020 followed a decrease of 31.4% in the second quarter and 5% in the first, with the third-quarter gain reversing about 75% of the prior decline. Economic forecasts project a slowdown in the final qu…

Balance Preliminar de las Economías de América Latina y el Caribe 2020

Latin America and the Caribbean Will Have Positive Growth in 2021, but It Will Not Be Enough to Recover Pre-Pandemic Levels of Economic Activity

The Latin America and the Caribbean region will experience a contraction of -7.7% in 2020 but will have a positive growth rate of 3.7% in 2021, due mainly to a statistical rebound that will nonetheless be insufficient for recovering the economic activity levels seen prior to the coronavirus pandemic (in 2019), ECLAC indicated today in a new report. ECLAC released its Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean 2020 – one of the United Nations organization’s flagship annual reports – during a virtual press conference given by its Executive Secretary, Alicia Bárcena.…

América Latina y el Caribe tendrá crecimiento positivo en 2021, pero no alcanzará para recuperar los niveles de actividad económica pre-pandemia

La región de América Latina y el Caribe marcará una contracción de -7,7% en 2020, pero tendrá una tasa de crecimiento positiva de 3,7% en 2021, debido principalmente a un rebote estadístico que, sin embargo, no alcanzará para recuperar los niveles de actividad económica pre-pandemia del coronavirus (en 2019), indicó hoy la CEPAL en un nuevo informe. La CEPAL dio a conocer su Balance Preliminar de las Economías de América Latina y el Caribe 2020, uno de los principales reportes anuales del organismo de las Naciones Unidas, en una conferencia de prensa virtual ofrecida por su Secretaria Ejecutiv…

A América Latina e o Caribe terão crescimento positivo em 2021, mas não será suficiente para recuperar os níveis de atividade econômica pré-pandemia

A região da América Latina e Caribe terá uma contração de -7,7% em 2020, mas terá uma taxa de crescimento positiva de 3,7% em 2021, devido principalmente a um arraste estatístico que, no entanto, não será suficiente para recuperar os níveis de atividade econômica pré-pandemia do coronavírus (em 2019), indicou hoje a CEPAL em um novo relatório. A CEPAL divulgou seu Balanço Preliminar das Economias da América Latina e do Caribe 2020, um dos principais relatórios anuais da Comissão das Nações Unidas, em uma coletiva de imprensa virtual apresentada por sua Secretária-Executiva, Alicia Bárcena. Se…

Launch of the Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean 2020

Lanzamiento Balance Preliminar de las Economías de América Latina y el Caribe 2020

U.S. Economic Outlook: Third Quarter 2020

The U.S. economy expanded at a 33.1% annual rate in the third quarter of 2020, following a decline of 31.4% in the second quarter and 5% in the first. The third-quarter gain reversed about 75% of the prior decline. The pandemic has created unprecedented volatility in economic growth this year, with the record-shattering decline in real GDP in the second quarter followed by a similarly record-breaking gain in the third. Economic forecasts project a slowdown in the final quarter of the year, however, because of the recent surge in COVID-19 cases and some tighter restrictions that have been imple…

ECLAC Will Update its Economic Growth Estimates for the Region’s Countries in 2020 and Provide New Projections for 2021

The Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) will present next Wednesday, December 16 its flagship annual report entitled Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean 2020, which examines the performance of the region’s economies this year and updates growth figures and other indicators that reflect the impact countries have borne as a result of the COVID-19 crisis. More specifically, the document will contain new Gross Domestic Product (GDP) estimates for the region and all of its countries in 2020, and it will provide a first growth estimate…