El objetivo de este estudio es analizar los diferentes procesos de desagregación temporal y presentar un ejercicio de trimestralización para el PIB de América Latina y el Caribe a través de modelos indirectos con indicadores que permiten obtener estimaciones trimestrales basadas en la magnitud de las series anuales. Para ello se utilizaron diferentes métodos, para lo cual fue necesario contar con las series anuales de la región (33 países) y con las series trimestrales para los países disponibles (20 países), a partir del primer trimestre del 2005 al cuarto trimestre del 2017. La implementació…
Os países da América Latina e do Caribe enfrentam um cenário econômico mundial complexo nos próximos anos, no qual se espera uma redução da dinâmica do crescimento, tanto dos países desenvolvidos como das economias emergentes, acompanhada por um aumento na volatilidade dos mercados financeiros internacionais. A isto soma-se o enfraquecimento estrutural do comércio internacional, agravado pelas tensões comerciais entre os Estados Unidos e a China.
As projeções de crescimento mundial foram reduzidas levemente, tanto para 2018 como para 2019, e prevalecem os riscos de baixa nesses prognósticos. E…
The year 2019 looks to be a period in which global economic uncertainties, far from waning, will intensify and will arise from different fronts. This will have an impact on the growth of the economies of Latin America and the Caribbean, which, on average, are seen expanding 1.7%, according to new projections released today by the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC).
The United Nations regional organization unveiled its last economic report of the year, the Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean 2018, at a press conference led by its…
El año 2019 se vislumbra como un período en el que lejos de disminuir, las incertidumbres económicas mundiales serán mayores y provenientes de distintos frentes. Esto repercutirá en el crecimiento de las economías de América Latina y el Caribe las que, en promedio, se expandirían 1,7% según nuevas proyecciones entregadas hoy por la Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
El organismo regional de las Naciones Unidas dio a conocer su último informe económico del año, el Balance Preliminar de las Economías de América Latina y el Caribe 2018, en una conferencia de prensa encabe…
O ano de 2019 se vislumbra como um período em que longe de diminuir, as incertezas econômicas mundiais serão maiores e provenientes de diferentes frentes. Isso repercutirá no crescimento da economia da América Latina e do Caribe que, em média, terá uma expansão de 1,7%, segundo as novas projeções apresentadas hoje pela Comissão Econômica para a América Latina e o Caribe (CEPAL).
O organismo regional das Nações Unidas divulgou seu último relatório econômico do ano, o Balanço Preliminar das Economias da América Latina e do Caribe 2018, em uma coletiva de imprensa liderada pela Secretária-Executi…
The U.S. economic expansion, which is in its tenth year, is approaching record length but not strength. November marked the 113th month of growth for the U.S. economy, and there have been 38 consecutive quarters of growth. This is the second longest expansion on record, only the 1991-2001 expansion is longer, and it is expected to continue into next year and become the longest on record.…
Resumen del artículo publicado en Revista CEPAL N° 126, diciembre de 2018. Autoras: Carmen Ramos Carvajal, Mercedes Alvargonzález Rodríguez y Blanca Moreno Cuartas.…
Highlights:
-In the third quarter of 2018, the U.S. economy grew at an annualized rate of 3.5% after rising 4.2% in the second quarter. Growth remained strong, but its composition deteriorated, as inventories accounted for almost two-thirds of the growth. Growth was led by consumer spending, which contributed 2.45% to growth, down from 2.6% in the second quarter, and inventories, which contributed 2.3%.
-U.S. employers added 2,268,000 jobs from January to November 2018, more jobs than in 2017.
Unemployment rate held steady at 3.7% at the end of November, the lowest level since 1969, while year…
The Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) will present on Thursday, December 20 its Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean 2018, in which it will update its growth estimates for the region’s countries in the present year and projections for 2019.
The report will be presented by Alicia Bárcena, ECLAC’s Executive Secretary, in a press conference at the Commission’s headquarters in Santiago, Chile, at 11:00 a.m. local time (UTC/GMT -3:00). The event will also be broadcast live on the Internet via the institution’s Web site.
The 2018 edit…
La Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL) presentará el jueves 20 de diciembre su Balance Preliminar de las Economías de América Latina y el Caribe 2018, publicación en la que actualizará sus estimaciones de crecimiento para los países de la región en el presente año y las proyecciones para 2019.
El informe será dado a conocer en una conferencia de prensa ofrecida por Alicia Bárcena, Secretaria Ejecutiva de la CEPAL, en la sede central de esta comisión regional de las Naciones Unidas en Santiago, Chile, a las 11:00 horas locales (UTC/GMT -3:00), presentación que será transm…
A Comissão Econômica para a América Latina e o Caribe (CEPAL) divulgará na quinta-feira, 20 de dezembro o Balanço Preliminar das Economias da América Latina e do Caribe 2018, publicação em que atualizará as estimativas de crescimento para os países da Região neste ano, e as projeções para 2019.
O Relatório será apresentado em uma coletiva de imprensa pela Secretária-Executiva da CEPAL, Alicia Bárcena, na sede da Comissão em Santiago, Chile, que será realizada às 11h do Chile (12h de Brasília) e será transmitida ao vivo por videoconferência para o Escritório da CEPAL no Brasil e, também, pelo s…
This document, prepared by the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) Washington Office, presents and analyzes the most recent developments (third quarter of 2018) concerning capital flows to Latin America and the Caribbean.
The main highlights are:
The Latin America and Caribbean (LAC) region has seen the best and the worst conditions for tapping international capital markets this year. In January 2018, issuers from the region placed their highest ever monthly volume of debt in international markets: US$ 32 billion. First quarter debt issuance in international markets…
The economic challenges in the Caribbean can be linked in significant measure to the region’s external vulnerability. This paper looks at trends in financial flows in the context of the region’s need to strengthen its resilience. It starts by focusing on three concepts: vulnerability, fragility and resilience-building. Vulnerability is looked at as a ‘structural’ variable, dictated by geography and reinforced by economic forces. Fragility is looked at as a ‘process’ variable, a recurring feature of the workings of the institutions, underscored by a shortage of resources, and missing systems fo…
The 2018 edition of the Economic Survey of Latin America and the Caribbean, its seventieth issue, consists of three parts. Part I outlines the region’s economic performance in 2017 and analyses trends in the early months of 2018, as well as the outlook for the rest of the year. It examines the external and domestic factors that have influenced the region’s economic performance, analyses the characteristics of economic growth, prices and the labour market, and draws attention to some of the macroeconomic policy challenges of the prevailing external conditions, amid mounting uncertainty stemming…
En su edición correspondiente a 2018, el Estudio Económico de América Latina y el Caribe presenta una síntesis del desempeño de la economía regional durante 2017 un análisis de la evolución durante los primeros meses de 2018, así como las perspectivas para el año en su conjunto. Se examinan los factores externos e internos que han incidido en el desempeño económico de la región, se analizan las características del crecimiento económico, la evolución de los precios y del mercado laboral, y se destacan las características y algunos de los desafíos para las políticas macroeconómicas en un context…
United Nations