In its Preliminary Overview of the Economies of the region, ECLAC forecasts an average contraction of -7.7% for 2020 – the largest in 120 years – and a rebound of 3.7% in 2021. In a context of global contraction, Latin America and the Caribbean is the region in the developing world that has been hardest hit by the crisis stemming from COVID-19. In the decade prior to the pandemic, the region was on a low-growth trajectory, and in 2020 it faces an unprecedented combination of negative supply and demand shocks, which is translating into the worst economic crisis in the last 120 years.
Although t…
En su edición 2020, el Balance Preliminar de las Economías de América Latina y el Caribe examina el comportamiento de las economías de la región durante el año, y actualiza las cifras de crecimiento y otros indicadores que reflejan el impacto sufrido por los países de la región a raíz de la crisis del COVID-19. En particular, el documento presenta nuevas estimaciones del producto interno bruto (PIB) para la región y todos sus países en 2020 y entrega una primera estimación de crecimiento para 2021. El informe analiza los efectos económicos provocados por la pandemia en cada país a la luz de lo…
The emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic has not only been sudden but has required significant re-adjustment on the part of world economies with far-reaching effects anticipated in the short to medium term. For vulnerable Caribbean economies already challenged by high debt service payments, external support is needed to fill the resource gap.
The objective of this report is to assess the impact of the pandemic imposed restrictions across six critical sectors and to provide policy recommendations to ensure a swift recovery and make a case for greater external concessional financial support to the…
Antes da pandemia, a região já mostrava baixo crescimento econômico: em média 0,3% no sexênio 2014-2019, e especificamente em 2019 uma taxa de crescimento de
0,1%. Com a chegada da pandemia, se somaram ao baixo crescimento econômico os choques externos negativos e a necessidade de implementar políticas de confinamento, distanciamento físico e encerramento de atividades produtivas, fazendo com que a emergência sanitária se materializasse na pior crise econômica, social e produtiva que a região viveu nos últimos 120 anos e numa queda de 7,7% do PIB regional. Essa contração da atividade econômica…
This article proposes a model to estimate the wealth of the richest groups in society and to design an efficient wealth tax system. For design and implementation issues, it reviews comparative international experience and provides an analytical discussion of the effects of a wealth tax, reviewing the main criticisms that orthodox economists have levelled against it. The methodology used to calculate wealth involves first-order approximations and Pareto criteria to compensate for data shortcomings. This article also presents a tax system which corrects the problems that have arisen when impleme…
Se propone aquí un modelo para estimar la riqueza de los grupos más ricos de la sociedad y diseñar un sistema eficiente de impuesto patrimonial. Para las consideraciones de diseño e implementación se revisa la experiencia internacional comparada y se presenta una discusión analítica de los efectos del impuesto patrimonial, examinando las principales críticas que han recibido por parte de economistas ortodoxos. La metodología asociada al cálculo del patrimonio considera aproximaciones de primer orden y el criterio de Pareto para abordar las limitaciones en los datos, y se plantea un sistema imp…
Nota editorial .-- Presentación. Economía global y desarrollo en tiempos de pandemia: los retos para América Latina y el Caribe / Alicia Bárcena y Mario Cimoli, editores invitados .-- Asimetrías estructurales y crisis sanitaria: el imperativo de una recuperación transformadora para el desarrollo sostenible en América Latina y el Caribe / Alicia Bárcena y Mario Cimoli .-- La crisis del COVID-19 de América Latina con una perspectiva histórica / José Antonio Ocampo .-- Construir un multilateralismo favorable al desarrollo: hacia un “nuevo” nuevo orden económico internacional / Ha-Joon Chang .-- E…
The U.S. economy expanded at a 33.1% annual rate in the third quarter; market projections suggest a decline of about 4% in 2020.
The pandemic has created unprecedented volatility in economic growth this year, with the record-shattering decline in real GDP in the second quarter followed by a similarly record-breaking gain in the third. The U.S. economic expansion in the third quarter of 2020 followed a decrease of 31.4% in the second quarter and 5% in the first, with the third-quarter gain reversing about 75% of the prior decline.
Economic forecasts project a slowdown in the final qu…
The Latin America and the Caribbean region will experience a contraction of -7.7% in 2020 but will have a positive growth rate of 3.7% in 2021, due mainly to a statistical rebound that will nonetheless be insufficient for recovering the economic activity levels seen prior to the coronavirus pandemic (in 2019), ECLAC indicated today in a new report.
ECLAC released its Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean 2020 – one of the United Nations organization’s flagship annual reports – during a virtual press conference given by its Executive Secretary, Alicia Bárcena.…
La región de América Latina y el Caribe marcará una contracción de -7,7% en 2020, pero tendrá una tasa de crecimiento positiva de 3,7% en 2021, debido principalmente a un rebote estadístico que, sin embargo, no alcanzará para recuperar los niveles de actividad económica pre-pandemia del coronavirus (en 2019), indicó hoy la CEPAL en un nuevo informe.
La CEPAL dio a conocer su Balance Preliminar de las Economías de América Latina y el Caribe 2020, uno de los principales reportes anuales del organismo de las Naciones Unidas, en una conferencia de prensa virtual ofrecida por su Secretaria Ejecutiv…
A região da América Latina e Caribe terá uma contração de -7,7% em 2020, mas terá uma taxa de crescimento positiva de 3,7% em 2021, devido principalmente a um arraste estatístico que, no entanto, não será suficiente para recuperar os níveis de atividade econômica pré-pandemia do coronavírus (em 2019), indicou hoje a CEPAL em um novo relatório.
A CEPAL divulgou seu Balanço Preliminar das Economias da América Latina e do Caribe 2020, um dos principais relatórios anuais da Comissão das Nações Unidas, em uma coletiva de imprensa virtual apresentada por sua Secretária-Executiva, Alicia Bárcena.
Se…
The U.S. economy expanded at a 33.1% annual rate in the third quarter of 2020, following a decline of 31.4% in the second quarter and 5% in the first. The third-quarter gain reversed about 75% of the prior decline. The pandemic has created unprecedented volatility in economic growth this year, with the record-shattering decline in real GDP in the second quarter followed by a similarly record-breaking gain in the third. Economic forecasts project a slowdown in the final quarter of the year, however, because of the recent surge in COVID-19 cases and some tighter restrictions that have been imple…
The Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) will present next Wednesday, December 16 its flagship annual report entitled Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean 2020, which examines the performance of the region’s economies this year and updates growth figures and other indicators that reflect the impact countries have borne as a result of the COVID-19 crisis.
More specifically, the document will contain new Gross Domestic Product (GDP) estimates for the region and all of its countries in 2020, and it will provide a first growth estimate…
La Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL) presentará el próximo miércoles 16 de diciembre su informe anual (flagship) Balance Preliminar de las Economías de América Latina y el Caribe 2020, en el cual examina el comportamiento de las economías de la región durante el año, y actualiza las cifras de crecimiento y otros indicadores que reflejan el impacto sufrido por los países de la región a raíz de la crisis del COVID-19.
En particular, el documento presentará nuevas estimaciones del producto interno bruto (PIB) para la región y todos sus países en 2020, y entregará una prim…
A Comissão Econômica para a América Latina e o Caribe (CEPAL) apresentará na próxima quarta-feira, 16 de dezembro, o seu relatório anual: Balanço Preliminar das Economias da América Latina e do Caribe 2020, em que examina o comportamento das economias da região durante o ano, e atualiza os números de crescimento e outros indicadores que refletem o impacto sofrido pelos países da região em decorrência da crise da COVID-19.
O documento apresentará principalmente as novas estimativas do produto interno bruto (PIB) para a região e todos os seus países em 2020, e mostrará uma primeira estimativa de…