Em um contexto internacional marcado pela incerteza e pela volatilidade, as economias da América Latina e do Caribe crescerão em média 1,5% em 2018, graças a um aumento da demanda interna, especialmente do consumo privado, e um leve aumento do investimento, indicou a CEPAL em um novo relatório anual.
O Estudo Econômico da América Latina e do Caribe 2018, uma das publicações mais tradicionais da CEPAL - publicada ininterruptamente desde o ano de sua fundação (1948) - foi divulgado hoje em uma coletiva de imprensa na sede sub-regional da CEPAL na Cidade do México, pela Secretária-Executiva, Alic…
This article analyses the Chilean government’s response to the 1999 recession that followed on from the Asian financial crisis, focusing on the macroeconomic policy reforms adopted and the institutional factors that influenced this response. The analysis is based on a review of previous research on the topic and suggests that some fiscal and monetary policies adopted during 1997−1998 exacerbated the effects of what were initially external shocks. However, fiscal discipline and the robust public institutions developed before and after the recession strengthened Chilean social protection policie…
In recent decades, Latin American countries have adopted more flexible exchange-rate regimes and set inflation targets. Several authors argue that some countries’ monetary and exchange-rate policies suffer from a procyclical bias, whereby central banks are reluctant to reduce interest rates when inflation falls, but are willing to increase them when inflation edges up. Therefore, the exchange rate tends to appreciate a lot and depreciate little. This paper analyses the asymmetry of the monetary and exchange rate policies of the five largest Latin American countries in which inflation targets a…
The Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) will present its annual report Economic Survey of Latin America and the Caribbean 2018 on Thursday, August 23, at 11 a.m. (GMT -5) at the organization’s Subregional Headquarters in Mexico, in Mexico City.
The report, which will provide updated economic growth projections for the countries of the region, will be unveiled at a press conference led by the Executive Secretary of the United Nations regional organization, Alicia Bárcena. The launch will also be transmitted live via the Internet on the institution’s website (www.cepa…
La Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL) presentará su informe anual Estudio Económico de América Latina y el Caribe 2018 el jueves 23 de agosto, a las 11:00 a.m. (GMT -5 hrs.) en la Sede Subregional del organismo en México, en Ciudad de México.
El reporte, que entregará proyecciones de crecimiento económico actualizadas para los países de la región, será dado a conocer en una conferencia de prensa encabezada por la Secretaria Ejecutiva del organismo regional de las Naciones Unidas, Alicia Bárcena. El lanzamiento será transmitido también en directo por internet en el sitio…
A Comissão Econômica para a América Latina e o Caribe (CEPAL) apresentará o Relatório anual Estudo Econômico da América Latina e do Caribe 2018 na quinta-feira, 23 de agosto, às 11h (13h de Brasília) na sede sub-regional da CEPAL, na Cidade do México.
O relatório apresentará as projeções de crescimento econômico atualizadas para os países da região e será divulgado em uma coletiva de imprensa liderada pela Secretária-Executiva do organismo regional da ONU, Alicia Bárcena. O lançamento será transmitido ao vivo pelo site da CEPAL (www.cepal.org).
Haverá transmissão ao vivo também, por videoconfe…
Este artículo analiza la respuesta del Gobierno chileno a la recesión de 1999 tras la crisis financiera asiática, centrándose en las reformas de política macroeconómica y los factores institucionales que influyeron en dicha respuesta. El análisis se basa en un examen de la investigación anterior sobre el tema, que indica que determinadas políticas fiscales y monetarias adoptadas en 1997 y 1998 aumentaron los efectos de lo que inicialmente habían sido impactos externos. La disciplina fiscal y las sólidas instituciones públicas establecidas antes y después de tal recesión reforzaron las política…
En los últimos decenios, en los países de América Latina se han adoptado regímenes cambiarios más flexibles y se han fijado metas de inflación. Varios autores sostienen que la política monetaria y cambiaria de algunos países adolece de un sesgo procíclico en virtud del cual los bancos centrales son reacios a reducir las tasas de interés cuando se desacelera la inflación, pero están dispuestos a aumentarlas cuando esta aumenta. Por consiguiente, el tipo de cambio tiende a apreciarse mucho y depreciarse poco. En este documento se analiza la asimetría de la política monetaria y cambiaria de los c…
El presente documento reúne conferencias y discursos de destacadas figuras del quehacer público y personalidades del mundo académico que la Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL) ha tenido el honor de acoger en su sede en Santiago entre 2016 y 2018, y constituye un aporte sustantivo a la reflexión sobre el desarrollo de América Latina y el Caribe. Las ideas que se exponen en este volumen provienen de diversas experiencias y visiones que, en conjunto, contribuyen al cumplimento de la hoja de ruta civilizatoria que representa la Agenda 2030 para el Desarrollo Sostenible.…
El presente volumen corresponde a la versión en español del libro The Korean Economy: six decades of growth and development, publicado originalmente por el Instituto Coreano de Desarrollo, en 2010. La traducción y aparición de este libro, que es una expresión tangible de la creciente cooperación entre la CEPAL y la República de Corea en los últimos años, permitirá divulgar de manera más amplia en América Latina y el Caribe las valiosas experiencias extraídas de la historia económica de la República de Corea en las últimas seis décadas, que constituyen un referente ineludible como modelo de des…
This document, prepared by the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) Washington Office, presents and analyzes the most recent developments (first quarter of 2018) concerning capital flows to Latin America and the Caribbean.
The main highlights are:
-In January 2018, issuers from Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) placed their highest ever monthly volume of debt in international markets. First quarter debt issuance in international markets also broke a record.
-From January to May 2018, total LAC international debt issuance amounted to US$ 67 billion, 6% higher than…
In the first quarter of 2018, the U.S. economy grew at an annualized rate of 2%, a slower pace than previously thought, but growth is expected to rebound in the current quarter. Growth was held back by the slowdown in consumer spending, which grew only 0.9% in the first quarter, after a 4% growth in the fourth quarter of last year. U.S. employers added 1,287,000 jobs during the first half of 2018. Unemployment rate was at 4% at the end of June. Compared with its pace before the 2008 recession, productivity growth is disappointingly slow. On a year-ago basis, unit labor costs were up 1.1% in th…
Over the past five decades, Caribbean small island developing States have made significant progress in both deepening and entrenching democratic traditions and norms, and in advancing human development. Despite such progress, the subregion’s sustainable development trajectory has become increasingly uncertain. In recent years there has been a growing awareness that the subregion has persistently lagged behind comparable economies in the developing world on the path to sustainable development. Long-standing problems are now being aggravated by climate change, with the increasing frequency and i…
Consistently with the emphasis that the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) has placed on equality since 2010, and in keeping with the purpose of leaving no one behind enshrined in the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, this document examines the mechanisms by which inequality erodes dynamic inefficacy in the Latin American and Caribbean economies. It analyses and measures the productivity and income effects of unequal access to health and education, as well as the consequences of inequality of opportunities arising from gender-, race- or ethnicity-based discr…
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