Economic growth and real volatility: The case of Latin America and the Caribbean
Área(s) de trabajo
Economic growth and real volatility: The case of Latin America and the Caribbean
- Autor: Cárcamo-Díaz, Rodrigo; Pineda Salazar, Ramón
- Autor corporativo de la publicación (Autor institucional): NU. CEPAL. División de Desarrollo Económico
- Descripción física: 37 páginas.
- Editorial: ECLAC
- Símbolo ONU (Firma): LC/L.3933
- Fecha: 1 de Diciembre de 2014
Resumen
Using a new database of quarterly data for 21 countries of Latin America and the Caribbean for the 1990-2012 period, this document shows that the duration of GDP contractions appears to be a rather robust indicator of real volatility, and is negatively correlated with long run growth in Latin America and the Caribbean during the period. These results are consistent with different theoretical hypotheses in the literature that relate the duration of GDP contractions with economic growth. They also show that the relationship between real volatility and economic growth in the region is robust to the inclusion of external variables that control for external uncertainty and volatility.
Índice
- Abstract
- I. Introduction
- II. Economic growth and real volatility in the region (1990-2012): data and stylized facts
- III. Testing the empirical relationship between real volatility and growth in the region (1990-2012)