No dia 23 de agosto a Comissão Econômica para a América Latina e o Caribe (CEPAL) divulgará o Estudo Econômico da América Latina e do Caribe, 2022: dinâmica e desafios do investimento para impulsionar uma recuperação sustentável e inclusiva, um dos principais relatórios econômicos anuais (flagship) da instituição, no qual realiza um balanço das economias da região nos últimos meses e atualiza suas estimativas de crescimento para cada um dos países no corrente ano.
O documento, publicado periodicamente pela comissão regional das Nações Unidas desde 1948, resume o desempenho da economia regional…
Several studies have argued economic complexity is an alternative way to understand well-being. There is a growing literature using standard data envelopment analysis (DEA), but we did not find studies comparing them with more advanced models, such as slack-based measure (SBM), or considering economic sophistication as an input in human development. To fill the gap, this article aims to compare standard models with SBM DEA models as tools for measuring countries’ efficiency in converting economic complexity into human development. We developed the Composite Index of Human Development and Econo…
Diversos estudios defienden la complejidad económica como modo alternativo de comprender el bienestar. Cada vez más trabajos parten del análisis envolvente de datos (DEA) estándar, pero no se encontraron estudios que los compararan con modelos más avanzados o que consideraran la sofisticación económica como insumo del desarrollo humano. El objetivo es cubrir esta laguna, comparando modelos DEA estándar y SBM como herramientas para medir la eficiencia de los países al convertir complejidad económica en desarrollo humano. Se elaboró el índice compuesto de desarrollo humano y complejidad económic…
The region is facing a complex economic situation, marked by slowing growth, rising inflation, interest rate hikes and volatility in international markets. This context puts pressure on public finances, compounded by increasing demands for social welfare, investment and environmental sustainability, which pose fiscal policy challenges.
The Fiscal Panorama of Latin America and the Caribbean, 2022 proposes a fiscal policy design that would help to drive sustainable development, by strengthening tax collection and making tax structures more progressive, and giving a strategic orientation to publi…
In 2021, economic growth in the United States was the strongest since 1984 (5.7%) but in the first quarter of 2022 the economy contracted. Here is the economic outlook in five charts:…
The United States economy expanded by 5.7% in 2021, the strongest annual growth since 1984, but in a sharp reversal it contracted 1.5% in the first quarter of 2022. Although the overall economy is expected to resume modest growth in the second quarter of 2022 and beyond owing to robust consumer spending and a strong labour market, risks to the economic outlook are rising. Inflation is at a 40-year high, and the Federal Reserve is raising interest rates at the most aggressive pace since the 1980s.
The United States economic outlook: 2021 year-in-review and first quarter of 2022 presents and ana…
La región enfrenta una compleja coyuntura económica, caracterizada por la desaceleración del crecimiento, una inflación en aumento, alzas de las tasas de interés y volatilidad en los mercados internacionales. Este contexto genera presiones sobre las finanzas públicas, a las que se suman crecientes demandas de bienestar social, inversión y sostenibilidad ambiental, que imponen desafíos al manejo de la política fiscal.
En el Panorama Fiscal de América Latina y el Caribe, 2022 se propone un diseño de la política fiscal que contribuya a impulsar un desarrollo sostenible, basado en el fortalecimien…
Capital Flows to Latin America and the Caribbean: 2021 in review and the first four months of 2022 presents and analyses the developments concerning capital flows to Latin America and the Caribbean in 2021and from January to April 2022. This report is published three times a year and provides an overview of new international bonds from Latin American and Caribbean issuers, including green, social, sustainability and sustainability-linked bonds, as well as of bond spreads and credit ratings.…
This policy brief prepared by ECLAC examines the economic and social impact of the war in Ukraine on the region, and offers countries recommendations on how to address its effects. The document analyzes economic and social variables as well as the different sectors of the regional economy that have been affected by the armed conflict that began in February of this year, presenting policy proposals to mitigate its impact on the recovery process following the COVID-19 crisis, which the region is still undergoing. The report includes updated estimates on the increase in poverty and extreme povert…
Este informe especial de la CEPAL examina el impacto económico y social de la guerra en Ucrania en la región y entrega recomendaciones a los países sobre cómo enfrentar sus efectos. El documento analiza las distintas variables económicas y sociales, así como los diferentes sectores de la economía regional que se han visto afectados por el conflicto bélico que comenzó en febrero de este año, y presenta propuestas de política para mitigar sus impactos en el proceso de recuperación poscrisis del COVID-19 que aún enfrenta la región. Incluye estimaciones actualizadas del aumento de la pobreza y la …
This overview examines the economic performance of economies of the Caribbean in 2020 and comprises four chapters. The first chapter provides a comparative analysis across Caribbean economies of the main macroeconomic variables, namely GDP growth, monetary indicators, as well as fiscal and external accounts. The second chapter looks at areas of focus in the Caribbean. The third chapter concludes, while the annex includes individual country briefs that give an overview of the economic situation for the Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Guyana, Jamaica, Suriname and a subregional assessment of the coun…
The economies of Latin America and the Caribbean face a complex juncture in 2022 due to the war between Russia and Ukraine, which ushers in a new source of uncertainty for the world economy. This is negatively affecting global growth, now estimated at 3.3%, a percentage point below original projections before the hostilities began. At the regional level, lower expected growth will be accompanied by higher inflation and slow employment recovery.
According to new estimates released today by the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) in this press release, average growth…
Las economías de América Latina y el Caribe enfrentan una coyuntura compleja en el 2022 debido al conflicto bélico entre Rusia y Ucrania, que abrió una nueva fuente de incertidumbre para la economía mundial y está afectando negativamente el crecimiento global, estimado en 3,3%, un punto porcentual menos de lo que se proyectaba antes del inicio de las hostilidades. En el ámbito regional, el menor crecimiento esperado se verá acompañado por una mayor inflación y una lenta recuperación del empleo.
Según nuevas estimaciones entregadas hoy por la Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (…
As economias da América Latina e do Caribe enfrentam uma conjuntura complexa em 2022 devido ao conflito bélico entre Rússia e Ucrânia, que abriu uma nova fonte de incerteza para a economia mundial e está afetando negativamente o crescimento global, estimado em 3,3%, um ponto percentual a menos do que foi projetado antes do início das hostilidades. No âmbito regional, o menor crescimento esperado será acompanhado por uma maior inflação e uma lenta recuperação do emprego.
De acordo com as novas estimativas divulgadas hoje pela Comissão Econômica para a América Latina e o Caribe (CEPAL) por meio …
Em sua edição de 2021, o Balanço Preliminar das Economias da América Latina e do Caribe examina o comportamento das economias da região durante o ano e atualiza os números de crescimento e outros indicadores que refletem o impacto sofrido pelos países da região como resultado da crise do COVID-19. Em particular, o documento apresenta novas estimativas do produto interno bruto (PIB) para a região e todos os seus países em 2020 e fornece uma primeira estimativa de crescimento para 2022.…
En el presente documento se hace un balance preliminar de las economías de Centroamérica (Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua y Panamá) y la República Dominicana (CARD) en 2021 y se presentan las perspectivas para 2022.…
The conflict between the Russian Federation and Ukraine has come at a time of great uncertainty in the world, relating to several factors: uneven rates of vaccination against coronavirus disease (COVID-19) and new variants of the virus; inflationary pressure and difficulty in maintaining fiscal stimulus packages; trade tensions and risks in the Chinese real estate sector; disruption of supply chains and rises in freight charges; and extreme events caused by climate change.
The conflict will have an impact on the economies of Latin America and the Caribbean through several channels, but primari…
El conflicto entre la Federación de Rusia y Ucrania ocurre en un contexto de alta incertidumbre a nivel global asociada a diversos factores: desigual ritmo de vacunación contra la enfermedad por coronavirus (COVID-19) y nuevas variantes del virus; presiones inflacionarias y dificultad para mantener el estímulo fiscal; tensiones comerciales y riesgos en el sector inmobiliario de China; disrupciones en las cadenas de suministro y alza de fletes, así como eventos extremos debido al cambio climático.
Este conflicto tendrá un impacto en las economías de América Latina y el Caribe a través de varios…
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