This paper looks at the evolution of the terms of trade between commodities and manufactures in the twentieth century. A statistical analysis of the relative price series for 24 commodities and eight indices reveals a significant deterioration in their barter terms of trade over the years 1900 to 2000. This decline was not continuous, however, nor was it distributed evenly among individual products. As is shown here, the far-reaching changes that the world economy underwent around 1920 and again around 1980 led to a stepwise deterioration which, over the long term, was reflected in a decline o…
Este artículo examina la evolución de los términos de intercambio
entre productos básicos y manufacturas en los años
1900 a 2000. Un análisis estadístico de las series de precios
relativos de 24 productos básicos y ocho índices muestra que
hubo un deterioro marcado de los términos de intercambio de
trueque a lo largo del siglo XX, pero que este deterioro no fue
continuo, ni tampoco homogéneo entre productos. Según se
muestra aquí, las profundas transformaciones que enfrentó la
economía mundial alrededor de 1920 y de 1980 se tradujeron
en un deterioro escalonado, que se reflejó a largo plazo en…
Abstract This paper looks at the evolution of the terms of trade between commodities and manufactures in the twentieth century. A statistical analysis of the relative price series for 24 commodities and of eight indices reveals a significant deterioration in their barter terms of trade over the course of the twentieth century. This decline was neither continuous, nor was it distributed evenly among individual products, however. The data show that the far-reaching changes that the world economy underwent around 1920 and again around 1980 led to…