An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the tourism sector in Aruba

22 October 2011 | Publication

An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the tourism sector in Aruba

- Publication corporate author (Institutional author): NU. CEPAL. Sede Subregional para el Caribe
- Physical description: 53 páginas.
- Publisher: ECLAC, Subregional Headquarters for the Caribbean
- UN symbol (Signature): LC/CAR/L.303
- Date: 22 October 2011

Abstract

In this study, an attempt is made to assess the economic impact of climate change on Aruba. This
study has three main objectives. The first is to examine the factors that influence the demand and
supply of tourism in Aruba. The second is to forecast the cost of climate change to the tourism
sector until 2050 under the A2 and B2 climate scenarios with the Business as Usual (BAU) as a
comparator climate scenario, and the third is to estimate the cost of adaptation and mitigation
strategies that can be undertaken by Aruba to address climate change in the tourism sector.

Table of contents

  • I. Intoduction
  • II. Stylized facts on Aruba
  • III. Review of the
  • IV. Methodology for analysis
  • V. Modelling tourism demand in Aruba
  • VI. Data
  • VII. Econometric methodology
  • VIII. Results of demand analysis
  • IX. Forcasting the cost of climate change for Aruba on tourism demand
  • X. Forcasting results
  • XI. Approaches to mitigation and adaptation in the tourism sector
  • XII. Conclusion and recommendations.

Subregional headquarter(s) and office(s)

Subregional Headquarters, Port of Spain